Throttur Reykjavik (W) – IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)

Model: TIPPSA

Throttur Reykjavik (W) vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.68
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 24, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 3h 34m
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -2.09% · n=286
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1h 27m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: -0.046 | A: -0.019

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

25/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.60First seen
Current2.76Now
Max odds2.88Highest point
Min odds2.25Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Throttur Reykjavik (W)HOME
VS
IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)AWAY
LLLLW
Recent form
LWWLW
Avg goals scored
1.20
1.80
Defensive weakness
2.80
1.80
Shots on target for
3.00
5.00
SoT conceded pressure
6.40
4.40
Home splitL-W-D-L-W0.80 scored / 0.80 conceded
Away splitL-W-D-L-L0.80 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.68. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -2.09% based on n=286 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Iceland Cup Women (is). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.68
V2 BandLOWROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 BandNONEROI -2.09% · n=286
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W). This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: -49.3% 7D: 42.6% 15D: 19.5% 30D: 24.8%
Model insight

Throttur Reykjavik (W) – IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.68. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.84% across 717 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -2.09% across 286 historical samples. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample27
Win Rate37.0%
Profit-1.05u
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Active Similar Predictions
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Pick
2 @ 2.68
Kickoff
Lug 24, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.84% • n=717
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-2.09% • n=286
Start
Starts in 3h 34m
Updated
Updated 1h 27m ago
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