FC Fredericia vs HB Køge
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is FC Fredericia. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: FC FredericiaGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.005 | A: -0.059Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.66. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -9.21% based on n=1970 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Denmark Division 1 (dk). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
Market expectations and recent results both point toward FC Fredericia as the more reliable side. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to FC Fredericia's attacking profile.
FC Fredericia – HB Køge Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Isloch - FC Baranovichi | 1.74 | -7.35% |
| LOSS | Laval - Concarneau | 1.75 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Alianza Atletico - CD Los Chankas | 1.68 | -7.35% |
| WIN | Honefoss - Skeid | 1.71 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Tikves Kavadarci - KF Arsimi | 1.73 | -7.35% |
| LOSS | Herediano - Puntarenas | 1.63 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Terengganu U20 - Penang U20 | 1.63 | -7.35% |
| LOSS | Tepatitlan FC - Alacranes de Durango | 1.70 | -6.04% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Lightning - Capalaba FC | 1 | 1.63 | -7.35% | 05 Jun 12:30 |
| Guijuelo - CDA Palencia | 1 | 1.70 | -9.21% | 07 Jun 18:00 |
| Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Sokol Kleczew | 1 | 1.69 | -9.21% | 25 Jul 19:00 |
| Haugesund - Bryne | 1 | 1.65 | -9.21% | 25 Jul 20:00 |
| CA Estudiantes Caseros - Club Ciudad de Bolivar | 1 | 1.68 | -6.04% | 25 Jul 20:00 |
| Sporting - Monaco | 1 | 1.65 | -9.21% | 25 Jul 20:30 |
| Rockdale Ilinden FC - Sutherland Sharks | 1 | 1.67 | -9.21% | 26 Jul 07:00 |
| Yanbian Longding - Meizhou Hakka | 1 | 1.65 | -9.21% | 26 Jul 12:00 |