Horsholm-Usserod IK – FC Roskilde

Model: TipTromba35H

Horsholm-Usserod IK vs FC Roskilde

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.40
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 25, 2026 1:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 2h 6m
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.14% · n=423
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 5m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Horsholm-Usserod IK. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Horsholm-Usserod IKGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: 0.036

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

52/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.00First seen
Current3.44Now
Max odds4.00Highest point
Min odds3.44Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Horsholm-Usserod IKHOME
VS
FC RoskildeAWAY
WLWDL
Recent form
DLDWW
Avg goals scored
1.80
1.60
Defensive weakness
1.80
1.40
Shots on target for
2.20
6.00
SoT conceded pressure
2.80
7.40
Home splitW-L-D-L-L1.40 scored / 2.00 conceded
Away splitD-L-W-L-W1.40 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.40. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.14% based on n=423 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.40
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.14% · n=423
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 35.3% 7D: 41.8% 15D: 21.4% 30D: 25.7%
Model insight

Horsholm-Usserod IK – FC Roskilde Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.40. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.14% across 423 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample121
Win Rate25.6%
Profit-18.07u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSSporting Cristal - Bragantino3.474.14%
LOSSCordoba - Sevilla3.403.56%
LOSSLevante U20 - Morocco U203.303.56%
LOSSCentral Espanol Reserves - Liverpool Montevideo Reserves3.253.56%
WINAlgeria (W) - Zambia (W)3.254.14%
WINDunkerque - Samsunspor3.403.56%
LOSSEkhaya FC - Big Bullets3.254.14%
LOSSTadotsu FC - Lavenirosso NC3.403.56%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Sparta Brno - SFK Vrchovina13.403.56%25 Jul 10:30
PEC Zwolle (W) - Werder Bremen (W)13.402.05%25 Jul 14:00
Carapegua - General Caballero JLM13.303.56%26 Jul 15:00
Sandnes Ulf - Kongsvinger13.254.14%26 Jul 17:00
Pick
1 @ 3.40
Kickoff
Lug 25, 2026 1:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.14% • n=423
Start
Starts in 2h 6m
Updated
Updated 5m ago
Torna in alto