Model: TIPPSH

AZ vs Olympiacos

PREDICTION

@ 2.25

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffLug 25, 2026 5:00 PM

ResultWIN3 - 2

StartStarted 20h 26m ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 22h 40m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is AZ. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: AZGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.075 | A: -0.024

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

33/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.55First seen

Current2.25Now

Max odds2.88Highest point

Min odds2.07Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

AZHOME

OlympiacosAWAY

WWDDD

Recent form

LLLWD

Avg goals scored

2.80

1.20

Defensive weakness

1.80

Shots on target for

6.00

4.20

SoT conceded pressure

4.60

4.80

Home splitW-W-D-D-D3.00 scored / 2.00 conceded

Away splitL-L-L-W-D1.20 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.25. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.25

V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to AZ's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 9.5% 7D: 21.4% 15D: 15.3% 30D: 22.8%

Model insight

AZ – Olympiacos Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.25. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample294

Win Rate47.6%

Profit+11.10u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Albirex Niigata - Montedio Yamagata	2.31	1.59%
LOSS	Wolverhampton - Real Sociedad	2.07	1.31%
LOSS	NEC - Elversberg	2.00	1.31%
LOSS	Inter Lions - Prospect United	2.00	1.31%
LOSS	Real Murcia - Port Vale	2.31	1.59%
LOSS	Birkirkara - Sliema Wanderers	2.28	1.59%
LOSS	Polissya Zhytomyr II - UCSA	2.29	1.59%
LOSS	Barry Town - Gloucester	2.40	1.59%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola	1	2.17	1.04%	30 May 18:30
Boca Juniors Reserves - River Plate Reserves	1	2.40	1.59%	05 Jul 19:00
Kamuzu Barracks - MAFCO	1	2.15	1.04%	26 Jul 14:30
Banik Ostrava B - FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim	1	2.11	1.04%	26 Jul 14:30
Termalica BB Nieciecza - Ruch Chorzow	1	2.08	1.04%	26 Jul 14:30
Fyllingsdalen - Åsane Fotball 2	1	2.48	1.59%	26 Jul 15:00
Unia Skierniewice - Stal Mielec	1	2.19	1.31%	26 Jul 17:00
Sogndal - Ranheim	1	2.10	1.04%	26 Jul 17:00

Pick

1 @ 2.25

Kickoff

Lug 25, 2026 5:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341

Start

Started 20h 26m ago

Updated

Updated 22h 40m ago