Model: TIPPSA

Kalmar FF vs Mjällby AIF

PREDICTION

@ 2.71

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 25, 2026 7:30 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 6h 18m

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.13% · n=261

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.13% · n=261

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 3h 5m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Mjällby AIF. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Mjällby AIFGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.124 | A: -0.047

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

47/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.89First seen

Current2.75Now

Max odds3.08Highest point

Min odds2.75Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Kalmar FFHOME

Mjällby AIFAWAY

DLWWW

Recent form

WDLDL

Avg goals scored

1.80

2.20

Defensive weakness

0.80

2.20

Shots on target for

2.00

4.20

SoT conceded pressure

5.40

4.20

Home splitD-W-W-W-W2.20 scored / 0.60 conceded

Away splitD-L-D-D-W2.60 scored / 2.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.71. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.13% based on n=261 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Sweden Allsvenskan (se). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.71

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.13% · n=261

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.13% · n=261

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Mjällby AIF has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 13.1% 7D: 25.8% 15D: 19.3% 30D: 25.6%

Model insight

Kalmar FF – Mjällby AIF Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.71. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.13% and 4.13%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample98

Win Rate38.8%

Profit+1.91u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Kalmar FF - Malmo FF	2.82	4.96%
WIN	IFK Varnamo - Ljungskile	2.54	3.59%
WIN	KF Drita - FK Kauno Zalgiris	2.85	4.96%
LOSS	Fencibles United - East Coast Bays	2.81	4.96%
WIN	Santamarina Tandil - Club Villa Mitre	2.65	4.13%
LOSS	Deportes Copiapo - Santiago Wanderers	2.92	4.96%
WIN	New Zealand (W) - Haiti (W)	2.86	4.96%
WIN	Maldives - Afghanistan	2.63	4.13%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Retro FC Brasil - America RN	2	2.70	3.31%	30 Apr 02:30

Pick

2 @ 2.71

Kickoff

Lug 25, 2026 7:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.13% • n=261

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

4.13% • n=261

Start

Starts in 6h 18m

Updated

Updated 3h 5m ago