Valeriodoce EC vs Villa Nova
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Valeriodoce EC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Valeriodoce ECGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.030 | A: -0.016Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.18. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2 (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Valeriodoce EC a useful statistical edge. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Valeriodoce EC has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Valeriodoce EC – Villa Nova Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Fuerte San Francisco Reserves - CD Platense Zacatecoluca Reserves | 2.01 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | CD Aguila Reserves - CD Luis Angel Firpo Reserves | 1.99 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Eintracht Frankfurt - Trabzonspor | 2.00 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Kamuzu Barracks - MAFCO | 2.15 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | SC Schwaz - SPG Wallern/ASV St. Marienkirchen | 2.40 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Albirex Niigata - Montedio Yamagata | 2.31 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Sogndal - Ranheim | 2.10 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Wolverhampton - Real Sociedad | 2.07 | 1.31% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Boca Juniors Reserves - River Plate Reserves | 1 | 2.40 | 1.59% | 05 Jul 19:00 |
| Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 27 Jul 01:00 |
| CRB - Vila Nova | 1 | 1.95 | 1.31% | 28 Jul 00:30 |
| Tauro FC - Sporting San Miguelito | 1 | 2.17 | 1.31% | 28 Jul 03:30 |
| CA Tigre - Nacional De Football | 1 | 2.08 | 1.04% | 29 Jul 00:00 |
| Instituto AC Cordoba - Platense | 1 | 2.13 | 1.04% | 30 Jul 02:30 |