Malmo FF – Elfsborg

Model: TIPPSH

Malmo FF vs Elfsborg

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.04
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 26, 2026 6:30 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 2
StartStarted 18h 50m ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=746
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 20h 52m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Malmo FF. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Malmo FFGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.088 | A: -0.070

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

29/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.87First seen
Current2.04Now
Max odds2.04Highest point
Min odds1.85Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Malmo FFHOME
VS
ElfsborgAWAY
LDWWD
Recent form
WLLLD
Avg goals scored
2.00
0.80
Defensive weakness
1.20
1.40
Shots on target for
4.20
3.40
SoT conceded pressure
4.00
5.00
Home splitL-W-D-W-L2.80 scored / 1.80 conceded
Away splitW-L-D-D-D1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.04. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=746 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Sweden Allsvenskan (se). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.04
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=746
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: -11.9% 7D: 2.8% 15D: 9.7% 30D: 19.4%
Model insight

Malmo FF – Elfsborg Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.04. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 746 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample424
Win Rate47.4%
Profit-18.35u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSCruzeiro - Botafogo1.801.04%
WINFuerte San Francisco Reserves - CD Platense Zacatecoluca Reserves2.011.31%
LOSSCD Aguila Reserves - CD Luis Angel Firpo Reserves1.991.04%
WINEintracht Frankfurt - Trabzonspor2.001.04%
WINKamuzu Barracks - MAFCO2.151.04%
LOSSSzombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE - SC Sopron1.891.04%
WINKaronga United - Creck SC1.881.04%
WINUjpest II - BKV Elore SC1.831.04%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola12.171.04%30 May 18:30
Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves11.991.31%05 Jul 16:00
Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United12.171.04%27 Jul 01:00
Police AC - Aryan FC11.901.04%27 Jul 11:30
Lokomotiv Tashkent - Sogdiana Jizzakh11.791.31%27 Jul 17:00
CRB - Vila Nova11.951.31%28 Jul 00:30
Union Espanola - Deportes Recoleta11.851.31%28 Jul 01:00
Tauro FC - Sporting San Miguelito12.171.31%28 Jul 03:30
Pick
1 @ 2.04
Kickoff
Lug 26, 2026 6:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=746
Start
Started 18h 50m ago
Updated
Updated 20h 52m ago
Torna in alto