Model: TIPPSA

Amazonas FC vs Paysandu

PREDICTION

@ 2.15

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffLug 27, 2026 3:30 AM

ResultPending

StartStarted 3m ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.21% · n=228

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.21% · n=228

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 2h 7m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Paysandu. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: PaysanduGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

31/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.53First seen

Current2.33Now

Max odds2.53Highest point

Min odds2.17Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Amazonas FCHOME

PaysanduAWAY

LLLDW

Recent form

WLLWL

Avg goals scored

0.40

1.20

Defensive weakness

1.40

1.60

Shots on target for

3.80

6.00

SoT conceded pressure

5.00

4.60

Home splitL-W-L-L-D0.60 scored / 1.20 conceded

Away splitL-W-L-L-W1.40 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.15. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.21% based on n=228 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie C (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.15

V2 BandLOWROI 1.21% · n=228

V4 BandLOWROI 1.21% · n=228

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Paysandu has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -8.1% 7D: -2.0% 15D: 12.4% 30D: 20.3%

Model insight

Amazonas FC – Paysandu Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.15. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.21% and 1.21%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample101

Win Rate56.4%

Profit+20.63u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Deportivo Binacional - Bentin Tacna Heroica	2.12	1.21%
LOSS	MFK Ruzomberok - Dunajska Streda	2.40	0.84%
WIN	SD Raiders U20 - Marconi Stallions U20	2.13	1.21%
WIN	Independiente Medellin (W) - Atletico Nacional (W)	2.01	1.21%
WIN	Torpedo Kutaisi - Zira IK	2.15	1.21%
WIN	Radomiak Radom - Hapoel Beer Sheva	2.04	1.21%
LOSS	Fortaleza U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	2.11	1.21%
WIN	Bentleigh Greens - Altona Magic	2.29	0.84%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Necaxa - Monterrey	2	2.13	1.76%	27 Jul 01:00

Pick

2 @ 2.15

Kickoff

Lug 27, 2026 3:30 AM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.21% • n=228

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.21% • n=228

Start

Started 3m ago

Updated

Updated 2h 7m ago