Valerenga vs Ham-Kam
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Valerenga. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: ValerengaGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.037 | A: -0.058Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.73. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.89% based on n=1157 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Norway Eliteserien (no). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
The short price is supported by recent form data, with Valerenga showing a clearer performance edge. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Valerenga is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Valerenga – Ham-Kam Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Ivory Coast U20 - Benin U20 | 1.50 | -3.38% |
| LOSS | GrIFK Reservi - EPS Reservi | 1.55 | -3.82% |
| LOSS | Goztepe - NK Rudes | 1.73 | -1.89% |
| WIN | CD FAS Reserves - Municipal Limeno Reserves | 1.73 | -3.38% |
| LOSS | Noroeste - Uniao Sao Joao | 1.55 | -3.38% |
| WIN | LDU Quito (W) - Barcelona Guayaquil (W) | 1.62 | -1.89% |
| WIN | Elfsborg (W) - Umea IK (W) | 1.67 | -3.82% |
| LOSS | Macarthur Rams U20 - Hurstville FC U20 | 1.57 | -3.38% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Nejmeh - Al Ahed | 1 | 1.57 | -3.38% | 28 Jul 16:30 |
| St Patricks - Derry City | 1 | 1.62 | -3.38% | 31 Jul 20:45 |