Model: TIPPSH

Bay FC (W) vs Reign FC (W)

PREDICTION

@ 2.19

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 02, 2026 4:45 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 2d 8h

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.72% · n=285

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.72% · n=285

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 10m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Bay FC (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Bay FC (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: 0.052 | A: 0.078

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

50/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.04First seen

Current2.19Now

Max odds2.25Highest point

Min odds2.04Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Bay FC (W)HOME

Reign FC (W)AWAY

LLWWD

Recent form

WLWLL

Avg goals scored

1.40

1.60

Defensive weakness

0.80

1.60

Shots on target for

6.80

5.00

SoT conceded pressure

5.40

7.80

Home splitL-W-L-D-D0.80 scored / 0.60 conceded

Away splitW-L-L-L-W1.60 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.19. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.72% based on n=285 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA NWSL Women (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.19

V2 BandHIGHROI 6.72% · n=285

V4 BandHIGHROI 6.72% · n=285

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. The HIGH confidence band reinforces the selection, with comparable historical cases showing a stronger expected profile. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Bay FC (W)'s attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -20.2% 7D: -13.5% 15D: 7.6% 30D: 9.8%

Model insight

Bay FC (W) – Reign FC (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.19. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.72% and 6.72%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample19

Win Rate42.1%

Profit-1.84u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Botafogo SP - Avai	1.96	6.72%
WIN	Belgium - Senegal	2.12	6.72%
LOSS	CRB - Fortaleza	2.17	6.72%
WIN	University NSW U20 - St George Saints U20	1.96	6.72%
LOSS	KTP - FC Haka	2.12	6.72%
WIN	Henan U20 - Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic U20	2.04	6.72%
LOSS	KA Akureyri - Valur Reykjavik	2.30	6.90%
LOSS	FBK Karlstad - Umeå FC	2.30	6.90%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
LKS Lodz II - OKS Swit Skolwin	1	2.35	6.90%	08 May 17:00
Portland Timbers - Seattle Sounders	1	2.14	6.72%	02 Aug 04:30

Pick

1 @ 2.19

Kickoff

Ago 02, 2026 4:45 AM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 6.72% • n=285

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

6.72% • n=285

Start

Starts in 2d 8h

Updated

Updated 10m ago