Model: TIPPSA

HNK Gorica vs NK Osijek

PREDICTION

@ 3.11

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 01, 2026 11:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 5h 51m

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.07% · n=461

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 12m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is NK Osijek. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: NK OsijekGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.044 | A: -0.115

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

32/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.14First seen

Current3.11Now

Max odds3.14Highest point

Min odds2.93Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

HNK GoricaHOME

NK OsijekAWAY

LLWLW

Recent form

LWWWL

Avg goals scored

1.40

Defensive weakness

1.40

1.60

Shots on target for

3.20

4.00

SoT conceded pressure

4.60

3.00

Home splitL-W-L-W-W1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitW-L-L-W-W0.80 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.11. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.07% based on n=461 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Croatia HNL (hr). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick2

Odd3.11

V2 BandNONEROI -1.07% · n=461

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, NK Osijek has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: 33.5% 7D: -0.7% 15D: 11.6% 30D: 8.7%

Model insight

HNK Gorica – NK Osijek Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.11. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -1.07% across 461 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample58

Win Rate34.5%

Profit+2.96u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Sundby - Ringsted IF	2.87	-1.07%
LOSS	Besiktas - Midtjylland	3.31	-0.79%
WIN	KuPS (W) - Aland United (W)	3.00	-1.07%
WIN	Anapolis FC - Botafogo PB	3.10	-1.07%
WIN	FC Haka - KTP	2.97	-1.07%
LOSS	Valur Reykjavik - Keflavik	2.93	-1.07%
LOSS	Avai - Cuiaba	3.20	-1.07%
WIN	Sao Bernardo SP - EC Juventude	3.22	-1.07%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Mold Alexandra - Caersws	2	3.08	-1.07%	01 Aug 15:30

Pick

2 @ 3.11

Kickoff

Ago 01, 2026 11:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -1.07% • n=461

Start

Starts in 5h 51m

Updated

Updated 12m ago