Model: TIPPSA

Aarau vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

PREDICTION

@ 2.29

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 01, 2026 8:00 PM

ResultLOSS1 - 1

StartStarted 4h 48m ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.59% · n=214

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 6h 50m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Stade Lausanne-Ouchy. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Stade Lausanne-OuchyGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.071 | A: -0.097

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

41/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.22First seen

Current2.50Now

Max odds3.60Highest point

Min odds2.50Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

AarauHOME

Stade Lausanne-OuchyAWAY

DLWLL

Recent form

DWWLL

Avg goals scored

0.80

1.40

Defensive weakness

1.80

1.60

Shots on target for

3.20

5.40

SoT conceded pressure

5.80

2.20

Home splitD-W-L-D-D1.20 scored / 1.40 conceded

Away splitD-W-L-W-D2.00 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.29. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.59% based on n=214 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Switzerland Challenge League (ch). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.29

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.59% · n=214

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Stade Lausanne-Ouchy is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 39.3% 7D: 3.4% 15D: 11.7% 30D: 9.1%

Model insight

Aarau – Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.29. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.59% across 214 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample160

Win Rate41.3%

Profit-8.12u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	AA Guarany - Atletico Gloriense	2.36	3.59%
WIN	FC Cajamarca - Sport Huancayo	2.35	4.13%
LOSS	Gremio - Fluminense	2.54	3.43%
LOSS	Sol de Mayo - Club Villa Mitre	2.15	2.63%
LOSS	Sportivo Ameliano - Nacional Asuncion	2.47	3.59%
WIN	Cobh Ramblers - Bray Wanderers	2.27	3.43%
LOSS	Austin FC - Seattle Sounders	2.30	3.43%
WIN	IFK Varnamo - Ljungskile	2.54	3.59%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
New Mexico United - Colorado Switchbacks FC	2	2.36	4.13%	02 Aug 03:30

Pick

2 @ 2.29

Kickoff

Ago 01, 2026 8:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 3.59% • n=214

Start

Started 4h 48m ago

Updated

Updated 6h 50m ago