Aragua vs Bolivar SC
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Aragua. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: AraguaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.030 | A: 0.090Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.32. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Venezuela Segunda Division (ve). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Aragua. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Aragua has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Aragua – Bolivar SC Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | FK Volga Ulyanovsk - FK Chelyabinsk | 2.46 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Bollstanäs SK - IK Franke | 2.10 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Spartak Pleven - Marek Dupnitsa | 2.22 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Udelas FC - San Francisco Reserves | 2.41 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Vila Nova GO (W) - Ceara (W) | 2.46 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Real Sociedad B - Huesca | 2.14 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Llandudno - Flint Town Utd | 2.11 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Tauro FC - UMECIT | 2.18 | 1.04% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Star - Logan Lightning | 1 | 2.55 | 1.59% | 23 May 09:00 |
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Boca Juniors Reserves - River Plate Reserves | 1 | 2.40 | 1.59% | 05 Jul 19:00 |
| Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 27 Jul 01:00 |
| Union Cocle - San Francisco FC | 1 | 2.52 | 1.59% | 02 Aug 23:00 |
| Lanus - Instituto AC Cordoba | 1 | 2.20 | 1.04% | 03 Aug 02:30 |
| Chrobry Glogow - Odra Opole | 1 | 2.25 | 1.59% | 03 Aug 19:00 |
| Racing Club (W) - Boca Juniors (W) | 1 | 2.16 | 1.31% | 03 Aug 20:00 |