Model: TIPPSH

FK Volga Ulyanovsk vs FK Chelyabinsk

PREDICTION

@ 2.28

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 02, 2026 5:00 PM

ResultLOSS0 - 2

StartStarted 1h 33m ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 3h 35m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FK Volga Ulyanovsk. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FK Volga UlyanovskGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.317 | A: -0.050

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

34/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.58First seen

Current2.25Now

Max odds2.58Highest point

Min odds2.25Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FK Volga UlyanovskHOME

FK ChelyabinskAWAY

LWLLD

Recent form

WLLWD

Avg goals scored

1.00

1.60

Defensive weakness

1.60

1.20

Shots on target for

3.20

2.20

SoT conceded pressure

4.20

4.00

Home splitL-W-L-L-L0.60 scored / 1.60 conceded

Away splitW-L-L-D-L0.40 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.28. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Russia Division 1 (ru). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.28

V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. FK Volga Ulyanovsk has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 68.5% 7D: 14.6% 15D: 9.3% 30D: 10.7%

Model insight

FK Volga Ulyanovsk – FK Chelyabinsk Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.28. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample304

Win Rate46.7%

Profit+9.01u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Bollstanäs SK - IK Franke	2.10	1.31%
WIN	Aragua - Bolivar SC	2.30	1.59%
WIN	Spartak Pleven - Marek Dupnitsa	2.22	1.04%
WIN	Udelas FC - San Francisco Reserves	2.41	1.59%
WIN	Vila Nova GO (W) - Ceara (W)	2.46	1.59%
WIN	Lens - Villarreal	2.04	1.04%
LOSS	Real Sociedad B - Huesca	2.14	1.31%
WIN	Llandudno - Flint Town Utd	2.11	1.04%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola	1	2.17	1.04%	30 May 18:30
Boca Juniors Reserves - River Plate Reserves	1	2.40	1.59%	05 Jul 19:00
Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United	1	2.17	1.04%	27 Jul 01:00
Bohemians 1905 - Hradec Kralove	1	2.45	1.59%	02 Aug 17:30
Deportivo Riestra - Barracas Central	1	2.25	1.59%	02 Aug 19:30
La Serena - O'Higgins	1	2.45	1.59%	02 Aug 21:00
Union Cocle - San Francisco FC	1	2.52	1.59%	02 Aug 23:00
Lanus - Instituto AC Cordoba	1	2.20	1.04%	03 Aug 02:30

Pick

1 @ 2.28

Kickoff

Ago 02, 2026 5:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341

Start

Started 1h 33m ago

Updated

Updated 3h 35m ago