Model: TIPPSH

Legia Warsaw vs Zaglebie Lubin

PREDICTION

@ 1.65

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 02, 2026 4:45 PM

ResultWIN3 - 1

StartStarted 2h 4m ago

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -7.35% · n=1010

V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -7.35% · n=1010

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 4h 11m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Legia Warsaw. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Legia WarsawGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.013 | A: 0.055

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

2/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.58First seen

Current1.65Now

Max odds1.65Highest point

Min odds1.58Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Legia WarsawHOME

Zaglebie LubinAWAY

WWWWW

Recent form

LWWLL

Avg goals scored

2.00

1.20

Defensive weakness

0.60

1.40

Shots on target for

5.00

2.80

SoT conceded pressure

1.60

5.20

Home splitW-W-W-W-W2.60 scored / 0.60 conceded

Away splitL-L-W-L-L0.80 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.65. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -7.35% based on n=1010 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Poland Ekstraklasa (pl). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.65

V2 BandNONEROI -7.35% · n=1010

V4 BandNONEROI -7.35% · n=1010

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The short price is supported by recent form data, with Legia Warsaw showing a clearer performance edge. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Legia Warsaw has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 51.1% 7D: 14.6% 15D: 11.5% 30D: 9.7%

Model insight

Legia Warsaw – Zaglebie Lubin Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.65. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -7.35% and -7.35%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample285

Win Rate58.9%

Profit-2.63u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	FC Nordsjaelland - Randers FC	1.65	-6.04%
WIN	Qviding FIF - BK Astrio	1.62	-10.11%
WIN	Deportivo Santaní - Encarnacion FC	1.70	-7.35%
WIN	Bocas - Veraguas United Reserves	1.63	-10.11%
WIN	Racing Louisville FC (W) - Chicago Stars (W)	1.71	-9.21%
LOSS	SFK Vrchovina - FK Blansko	1.75	-6.04%
WIN	SK Unicov - MFK Karvina B	1.66	-9.21%
WIN	Belgrano (W) - Huracan (W)	1.69	-6.04%

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Pick

1 @ 1.65

Kickoff

Ago 02, 2026 4:45 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -7.35% • n=1010

Confidence V4

CONF V4: NONE

Exp. ROI V4

-7.35% • n=1010

Start

Started 2h 4m ago

Updated

Updated 4h 11m ago