Model: TIPPSH

Longford Town vs Finn Harps

PREDICTION

@ 1.68

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 03, 2026 8:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1d 22h

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -10.11% · n=160

V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -10.11% · n=160

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 10m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Longford Town. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Longford TownGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.140 | A: -0.006

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

3/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.80First seen

Current1.68Now

Max odds1.80Highest point

Min odds1.68Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Longford TownHOME

Finn HarpsAWAY

WLWWW

Recent form

LLLLW

Avg goals scored

3.20

0.40

Defensive weakness

1.20

1.40

Shots on target for

5.80

3.40

SoT conceded pressure

4.60

6.60

Home splitL-W-W-W-W3.20 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitL-D-L-L-L0.60 scored / 2.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.68. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -10.11% based on n=160 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Republic of Ireland First Division (ie). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.68

V2 BandNONEROI -10.11% · n=160

V4 BandNONEROI -10.11% · n=160

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The low odds suggest strong market confidence, and the available form indicators generally support that view. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Longford Town is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 43.2% 7D: 3.5% 15D: 11.8% 30D: 9.5%

Model insight

Longford Town – Finn Harps Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.68. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -10.11% and -10.11%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample273

Win Rate57.5%

Profit-9.05u

Historical Similar Predictions

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WIN	East Kilbride - Queen of South	1.75	-4.66%
WIN	Sportivo Ameliano Reserves - 2 de Mayo Reserves	1.71	-4.66%
WIN	LoPa - EPS Reservi	1.63	-9.21%
WIN	Gamle Oslo - FK Union Carl Berner	1.66	-7.35%
LOSS	ADO Den Haag - Asteras Tripolis	1.67	-9.21%
LOSS	Bray Wanderers - Kerry FC	1.67	-7.35%

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Pick

1 @ 1.68

Kickoff

Ago 03, 2026 8:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -10.11% • n=160

Confidence V4

CONF V4: NONE

Exp. ROI V4

-10.11% • n=160

Start

Starts in 1d 22h

Updated

Updated 10m ago