Model: TIPPSH

Lillestrøm 2 vs Kongsvinger 2

PREDICTION

@ 2.22

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 03, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 8h 20m

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 11m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Lillestrøm 2. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Lillestrøm 2Goal/Shots Index — H: 0.017 | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

32/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.62First seen

Current2.22Now

Max odds2.22Highest point

Min odds1.62Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Lillestrøm 2HOME

Kongsvinger 2AWAY

LWWLL

Recent form

LWLLL

Avg goals scored

4.40

1.40

Defensive weakness

3.00

Shots on target for

6.40

3.25

SoT conceded pressure

4.60

7.00

Home splitW-W-L-L-W4.20 scored / 2.40 conceded

Away splitW-L-L-L-W1.60 scored / 2.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.22. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Norway Division 3 Group 5 (no). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.22

V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Lillestrøm 2. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Lillestrøm 2 has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 57.6% 7D: 15.0% 15D: 7.4% 30D: 10.7%

Model insight

Lillestrøm 2 – Kongsvinger 2 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.22. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample354

Win Rate45.5%

Profit-5.97u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Real Frontera - Atletico El Vigia	2.04	1.04%
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LOSS	Bollstanäs SK - IK Franke	2.10	1.31%
WIN	Aragua - Bolivar SC	2.30	1.59%
WIN	Spartak Pleven - Marek Dupnitsa	2.22	1.04%
WIN	Udelas FC - San Francisco Reserves	2.41	1.59%
WIN	Vila Nova GO (W) - Ceara (W)	2.46	1.59%
WIN	Lens - Villarreal	2.04	1.04%

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Pick

1 @ 2.22

Kickoff

Ago 03, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.31% • n=2537

Start

Starts in 8h 20m

Updated

Updated 11m ago