Liverpool Montevideo vs Albion FC
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Liverpool Montevideo. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Liverpool MontevideoGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.070 | A: 0.010Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.17. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Uruguay Clausura (uy). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Liverpool Montevideo is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Liverpool Montevideo – Albion FC Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Thor/THK/Vols/Magni U19 - Throttur Reykjavik/SR/Hamar U19 | 2.01 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Monaco - Getafe | 1.96 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Queanbeyan City - Tuggeranong Utd | 1.92 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Fluminense - Vasco da Gama | 2.21 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Nublense - Rangers de Talca | 2.09 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Keflavik - KA Akureyri | 1.98 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Academia de Balompie Boliviano - Real Oruro | 2.05 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Denver Summit FC (W) - North Carolina Courage (W) | 1.95 | 1.04% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Boca Juniors Reserves - River Plate Reserves | 1 | 2.40 | 1.59% | 05 Jul 19:00 |
| Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 27 Jul 01:00 |
| Orsomarso - Tigres FC | 1 | 2.14 | 1.04% | 07 Aug 01:00 |
| SCR Altach - WSG Swarovski Tirol | 1 | 2.16 | 1.31% | 07 Aug 19:30 |
| Grindavik/Njardvik (W) - IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | 1 | 2.07 | 1.04% | 07 Aug 20:00 |
| UCD - Wexford FC | 1 | 2.05 | 1.04% | 07 Aug 20:45 |