Model: TIPPSH

Academia Puerto Cabello vs Caracas

PREDICTION

@ 1.85

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 06, 2026 11:30 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1d

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1h 9m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Academia Puerto Cabello. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Academia Puerto CabelloGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.029 | A: -0.077

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

26/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.90First seen

Current1.85Now

Max odds1.91Highest point

Min odds1.83Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Academia Puerto CabelloHOME

CaracasAWAY

LLWLW

Recent form

DLLDL

Avg goals scored

1.20

0.80

Defensive weakness

1.20

2.20

Shots on target for

5.00

3.00

SoT conceded pressure

3.00

4.20

Home splitW-D-W-W-D1.80 scored / 0.80 conceded

Away splitL-D-W-D-D1.40 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.85. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Venezuela Primera Division (ve). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.85

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Academia Puerto Cabello is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 23.2% 7D: 34.6% 15D: 7.4% 30D: 13.1%

Model insight

Academia Puerto Cabello – Caracas Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.85. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample427

Win Rate48.9%

Profit-25.38u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Queanbeyan City - Tuggeranong Utd	1.92	1.31%
LOSS	Queanbeyan City U23 - Tuggeranong United U23	1.88	1.31%
WIN	Nublense - Rangers de Talca	2.09	1.04%
WIN	Keflavik - KA Akureyri	1.98	1.04%
WIN	SalPa - JJK	1.88	1.04%
WIN	Hapoel Kiryat Shmona - Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin	1.82	1.31%
WIN	Academia de Balompie Boliviano - Real Oruro	2.05	1.04%
LOSS	RTC FC - Thimphu FC	1.77	1.04%

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Pick

1 @ 1.85

Kickoff

Ago 06, 2026 11:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438

Start

Starts in 1d

Updated

Updated 1h 9m ago