Model: TipTromba2H

Paysandu vs AD Confianca

PREDICTION

@ 1.53

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 11, 2026 3:00 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 2d 1h

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.38% · n=1115

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 2d 3h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Paysandu. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: PaysanduGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.100 | A: -0.005

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

6/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.57First seen

Current1.54Now

Max odds1.57Highest point

Min odds1.54Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

PaysanduHOME

AD ConfiancaAWAY

LWLLW

Recent form

DLLDW

Avg goals scored

1.20

1.00

Defensive weakness

1.60

1.20

Shots on target for

5.80

2.40

SoT conceded pressure

4.80

4.60

Home splitW-L-L-W-W2.20 scored / 1.60 conceded

Away splitL-D-L-L-L0.20 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.53. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.38% based on n=1115 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie C (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.53

V2 BandNONEROI -3.38% · n=1115

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The market is strongly leaning toward Paysandu, but the statistical edge looks less pronounced. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Paysandu's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 0.0% 7D: 25.8% 15D: 6.2% 30D: 12.5%

Model insight

Paysandu – AD Confianca Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.53. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -3.38% across 1115 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample479

Win Rate63.0%

Profit+6.01u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Guanabara City U20 - Sao Luiz U20	1.67	-1.89%
WIN	Sporting Hasselt - Belisia Bilzen SV	1.53	-3.38%
WIN	Tenerife B - CD Marino	1.50	-1.89%
LOSS	Aberystwyth - Treowen Stars	1.50	-3.38%
LOSS	Odd II - Staal Jørpeland	1.57	-3.82%
LOSS	Nasaf Qarshi - FK Kokand 1912	1.50	-3.38%
LOSS	Gornik Zabrze U19 - Stal Rzeszow U19	1.50	-3.38%
LOSS	Wieczysta Krakow II - AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	1.50	-3.82%

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Sigma Olomouc B - Slovacko II	1	1.53	-1.89%	09 Aug 10:15
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VJS Vantaa II - Tips Vantaa	1	1.65	-3.38%	09 Aug 17:00
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Breidablik - Valur Reykjavik	1	1.57	-3.38%	09 Aug 21:15
Botev Plovdiv - Spartak Varna	1	1.53	-3.82%	10 Aug 20:15

Pick

1 @ 1.53

Kickoff

Ago 11, 2026 3:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -3.38% • n=1115

Start

Starts in 2d 1h

Updated

Updated 2d 3h ago