Avro FC – Quorn

Model: TIPPSH

Avro FC vs Quorn

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.96
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 08, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultWIN2 - 1
StartStarted 15h 19m ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 17h 21m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Avro FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Avro FCGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.200 | A: 0.086

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

36/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.74First seen
Current1.96Now
Max odds1.96Highest point
Min odds1.70Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Avro FCHOME
VS
QuornAWAY
WWWDW
Recent form
LDDWL
Avg goals scored
4.80
1.40
Defensive weakness
1.60
1.40
Shots on target for
5.75
3.20
SoT conceded pressure
3.25
6.00
Home splitW-W-D-W-W4.60 scored / 1.40 conceded
Away splitL-W-L-L1.00 scored / 2.25 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.96. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.37% based on n=795 historical similar picks. The match belongs to England Northern Premier League (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.96
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Avro FC a useful statistical edge. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Avro FC has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 1.2% 7D: 25.5% 15D: 5.9% 30D: 12.9%
Model insight

Avro FC – Quorn Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.96. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.37% and 3.37%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample357
Win Rate50.4%
Profit-6.23u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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LOSSRennes - Brentford2.063.37%
WINPorthmadog - Rhyl2.103.37%
WINBayern Munich - Aston Villa1.923.37%
WINGold Coast Knights (W) - Brisbane City (W)2.203.37%
WINTäfteå IK - Gottne IF2.193.37%
LOSSFC Yaypan Fergana - Fardu Ferghana2.153.37%
LOSSBeitar Jerusalem - AEK Larnaca1.953.37%
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Pick
1 @ 1.96
Kickoff
Ago 08, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.37% • n=795
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.37% • n=795
Start
Started 15h 19m ago
Updated
Updated 17h 21m ago
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