Oita – Shonan Bellmare

Model: TipTromba35H

Oita vs Shonan Bellmare

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.00
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 08, 2026 2:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 4h 40m
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.01% · n=821
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 15m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Oita. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: OitaGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

35/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.75First seen
Current3.00Now
Max odds3.00Highest point
Min odds2.75Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

OitaHOME
VS
Shonan BellmareAWAY
WLDLL
Recent form
LLLLL
Avg goals scored
1.00
0.40
Defensive weakness
1.40
1.80
Shots on target for
3.00
1.80
SoT conceded pressure
4.40
5.20
Home splitW-L-L-L-L0.60 scored / 1.20 conceded
Away splitL-L-W-D-D0.80 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.00. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.01% based on n=821 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Japan J2-League (jp). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.00
V2 BandLOWROI 0.01% · n=821
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, Oita shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Oita has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: -7.1% 7D: 14.0% 15D: 3.7% 30D: 9.6%
Model insight

Oita – Shonan Bellmare Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.01% across 821 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample93
Win Rate25.8%
Profit-19.06u
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Pick
1 @ 3.00
Kickoff
Ago 08, 2026 2:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.01% • n=821
Start
Starts in 4h 40m
Updated
Updated 15m ago
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