Model: TIPPSH

FC Baranovichi vs BATE Borisov

PREDICTION

@ 2.76

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 09, 2026 5:45 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1d 5h

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -2.37% · n=266

V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -2.37% · n=266

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 4h 47m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FC Baranovichi. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FC BaranovichiGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.099 | A: -0.024

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

24/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.38First seen

Current2.94Now

Max odds3.38Highest point

Min odds2.94Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FC BaranovichiHOME

BATE BorisovAWAY

LDWWD

Recent form

LDDDL

Avg goals scored

2.00

0.40

Defensive weakness

1.40

Shots on target for

4.60

2.20

SoT conceded pressure

3.80

5.80

Home splitL-W-D-W-L1.60 scored / 1.60 conceded

Away splitL-D-L-W-D1.20 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.76. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -2.37% based on n=266 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Belarus Premier League (by). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.76

V2 BandNONEROI -2.37% · n=266

V4 BandNONEROI -2.37% · n=266

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. FC Baranovichi is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: -1.3% 7D: 14.0% 15D: 3.7% 30D: 9.6%

Model insight

FC Baranovichi – BATE Borisov Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.76. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -2.37% and -2.37%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample49

Win Rate32.7%

Profit-5.30u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Trefelin BGC - Llandudno	2.85	-2.37%
LOSS	Plymouth - Bristol City	2.80	-2.37%
LOSS	Leones FC - Barcelona Guayaquil	2.89	-2.37%
LOSS	Alianza - Deportes Tolima	2.79	-2.37%
WIN	Fram Reykjavik (W) - Valur Reykjavik (W)	2.96	-2.37%
LOSS	Belshina Bobruisk - FC Minsk	2.96	-2.37%
WIN	Ironi Tiberias - Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin	2.82	-2.37%
WIN	Aguilas Doradas - Independiente Santa Fe	2.80	-2.37%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
FC Kosice - Dunajska Streda	1	2.80	-2.37%	09 Aug 19:00

Pick

1 @ 2.76

Kickoff

Ago 09, 2026 5:45 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -2.37% • n=266

Confidence V4

CONF V4: NONE

Exp. ROI V4

-2.37% • n=266

Start

Starts in 1d 5h

Updated

Updated 4h 47m ago