Model: TIPPSH

Olympic Mobiuz vs Shurtan

PREDICTION

@ 2.10

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 10, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 4h 52m

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.63% · n=470

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 19m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Olympic Mobiuz. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Olympic MobiuzGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.008 | A: -0.042

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

32/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.70First seen

Current2.36Now

Max odds2.38Highest point

Min odds1.70Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Olympic MobiuzHOME

ShurtanAWAY

WWWLW

Recent form

WWLLW

Avg goals scored

3.40

1.60

Defensive weakness

1.20

1.60

Shots on target for

7.80

5.60

SoT conceded pressure

5.00

4.00

Home splitW-W-L-W-D2.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitW-L-W-L-W1.60 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.10. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.63% based on n=470 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Uzbekistan 1st Division (uz). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.10

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 BandLOWROI 1.63% · n=470

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Olympic Mobiuz has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 3.3% 7D: 7.3% 15D: 10.5% 30D: 9.6%

Model insight

Olympic Mobiuz – Shurtan Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.10. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.04% and 1.63%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample530

Win Rate47.5%

Profit-10.32u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Planalto EC (W) - Pantanal (W)	2.12	1.04%
WIN	Coatepeque FC - Juventud Copalera	1.87	1.04%
LOSS	JS Hercules - SJK Akatemia II	2.32	1.59%
LOSS	Lujan - Central Cordoba de Rosario	2.07	1.04%
LOSS	CS Deportivo Sacachispas - Mictlán	2.06	1.04%
WIN	Police AC - Rainbow AC	1.93	1.31%
WIN	Alemannia Aachen - Verl	2.17	1.04%
LOSS	FC Probiy Horodenka - FC Chernigiv	2.22	1.04%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola	1	2.17	1.04%	30 May 18:30
Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves	1	1.99	1.31%	05 Jul 16:00
Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United	1	2.17	1.04%	27 Jul 01:00
Polissya Zhytomyr - FC Kharkiv	1	1.95	1.31%	10 Aug 14:30
Nacional de Montevideo Reserves - Montevideo Wanderers Reserves	1	2.20	1.31%	10 Aug 15:30
Botev Vratsa - Slavia Sofia	1	1.93	1.04%	10 Aug 18:00
Apia L Tigers - Sydney United 58	1	2.17	1.04%	12 Aug 11:30
Bragantino - Atletico Mineiro	1	2.00	1.04%	13 Aug 00:00

Pick

1 @ 2.10

Kickoff

Ago 10, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.63% • n=470

Start

Starts in 4h 52m

Updated

Updated 19m ago