FC Probiy Horodenka – FC Chernigiv

Model: TIPPSH

FC Probiy Horodenka vs FC Chernigiv

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.67
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 09, 2026 3:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 15h 47m ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 18h 21m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FC Probiy Horodenka. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FC Probiy HorodenkaGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: 0.016

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

37/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.22First seen
Current2.67Now
Max odds2.67Highest point
Min odds2.22Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FC Probiy HorodenkaHOME
VS
FC ChernigivAWAY
DLDLW
Recent form
DDDLD
Avg goals scored
1.00
0.60
Defensive weakness
1.80
0.80
Shots on target for
2.60
2.00
SoT conceded pressure
3.60
3.00
Home splitD-D-L-W-W1.40 scored / 1.40 conceded
Away splitD-D-L-D-D0.40 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.67. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Ukraine Persha Liga (ua). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.67
V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 9.1% 7D: 10.4% 15D: 6.3% 30D: 10.0%
Model insight

FC Probiy Horodenka – FC Chernigiv Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.67. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample93
Win Rate36.6%
Profit-6.15u
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WIN76 Igdir Belediyespor - Fatih Karagumruk2.461.59%
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LOSSBjarg - Sotra2.451.59%
LOSSFC Tokyo - Machida Zelvia2.461.59%
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Pick
1 @ 2.67
Kickoff
Ago 09, 2026 3:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341
Start
Started 15h 47m ago
Updated
Updated 18h 21m ago
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