Model: TipA1

AaB vs FC Fredericia

PREDICTION

@ 2.35

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 14, 2026 9:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 4d 5h

V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 11.14% · n=199

V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 11.14% · n=199

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 2h 34m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FC Fredericia. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FC FredericiaGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.056 | A: 0.056

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

68/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.46First seen

Current2.45Now

Max odds2.46Highest point

Min odds2.45Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

AaBHOME

FC FredericiaAWAY

DWWWL

Recent form

DWDWW

Avg goals scored

1.60

2.40

Defensive weakness

1.00

0.40

Shots on target for

4.20

7.60

SoT conceded pressure

4.20

3.00

Home splitD-W-L-D-W1.60 scored / 1.20 conceded

Away splitW-D-W-W-L2.20 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.35. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 11.14% based on n=199 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Denmark Division 1 (dk). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.35

V2 BandELITEROI 11.14% · n=199

V4 BandELITEROI 11.14% · n=199

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. The model places this selection in a historically favorable confidence range. FC Fredericia is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 3.3% 7D: 7.3% 15D: 10.5% 30D: 9.6%

Model insight

AaB – FC Fredericia Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.35. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 11.14% and 11.14%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample29

Win Rate65.5%

Profit+15.10u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	FK Jelgava - FK Auda	2.10	11.04%
WIN	Newport City FC - Carmarthen	2.10	11.04%
WIN	Lidköpings FK - Stenungsunds IF	2.35	11.14%
WIN	FC Järfälla - IF Karlstad Fotboll	2.20	11.04%
LOSS	Uniao Frederiquense - GE Bage	2.30	11.14%
WIN	IF Vestri - Grotta Seltjarnarnes	2.55	11.14%
LOSS	Burnley - Espanyol	2.40	11.14%
LOSS	Bogota FC - Union Magdalena	2.50	11.14%

Pick

2 @ 2.35

Kickoff

Ago 14, 2026 9:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: ELITE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 11.14% • n=199

Confidence V4

CONF V4: ELITE

Exp. ROI V4

11.14% • n=199

Start

Starts in 4d 5h

Updated

Updated 2h 34m ago