Model: TipA1

Newport City FC vs Carmarthen

PREDICTION

@ 2.10

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 08, 2026 5:30 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 8h 6m

V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 11.04% · n=57

V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 11.04% · n=57

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 13h 57m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Carmarthen. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: CarmarthenGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: 0.040

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

65/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Newport City FCHOME

CarmarthenAWAY

WLLLL

Recent form

WLLWL

Avg goals scored

0.80

2.40

Defensive weakness

3.20

3.00

Shots on target for

2.80

5.20

SoT conceded pressure

9.60

5.00

Home splitL-L0.00 scored / 5.00 conceded

Away splitL1.00 scored / 4.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.10. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 11.04% based on n=57 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Wales Championship South (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.10

V2 BandELITEROI 11.04% · n=57

V4 BandELITEROI 11.04% · n=57

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The confidence band strengthens the case for the pick beyond the basic market price. Carmarthen is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: -12.0% 7D: 14.0% 15D: 2.7% 30D: 10.1%

Model insight

Newport City FC – Carmarthen Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.10. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 11.04% and 11.04%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample12

Win Rate75.0%

Profit+7.90u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Uniao Frederiquense - GE Bage	2.30	11.14%
WIN	Haukar (W) - HK Kopavogur (W)	2.30	11.14%
WIN	FK Kyzylzhar - FC Elimai Semey	2.10	11.04%
WIN	Gyeongju HNP - Pocheon Citizen FC	2.25	11.14%
WIN	Heidelberg United (W) - Boroondara Eagles (W)	2.25	11.14%
WIN	Caroline Springs George Cross FC - Preston Lions	2.00	11.04%
WIN	Minnesota Bliss (W) - St Croix SC (W)	2.35	11.14%
WIN	Moto Club U20 - Maranhao U20	2.20	11.04%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
FC Järfälla - IF Karlstad Fotboll	2	2.20	11.04%	08 Aug 16:00
Lidköpings FK - Stenungsunds IF	2	2.35	11.14%	08 Aug 16:00

Pick

2 @ 2.10

Kickoff

Ago 08, 2026 5:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: ELITE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 11.04% • n=57

Confidence V4

CONF V4: ELITE

Exp. ROI V4

11.04% • n=57

Start

Starts in 8h 6m

Updated

Updated 13h 57m ago