Model: TipA1

IF Vestri vs IR Reykjavik

PREDICTION

@ 2.60

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 13, 2026 10:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1d 8h

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.27% · n=1151

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.85% · n=441

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 9h 11m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is IR Reykjavik. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: IR ReykjavikGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.095 | A: -0.117

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

55/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.68First seen

Current2.68Now

Max odds2.68Highest point

Min odds2.56Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

IF VestriHOME

IR ReykjavikAWAY

LLDLL

Recent form

WWDLD

Avg goals scored

1.00

1.40

Defensive weakness

3.40

1.60

Shots on target for

4.40

3.60

SoT conceded pressure

8.80

2.80

Home splitL-D-L-L-W1.00 scored / 2.40 conceded

Away splitD-L-L-L-L0.80 scored / 3.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.60. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.85% based on n=441 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Iceland 1 Deild (is). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.60

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.27% · n=1151

V4 BandHIGHROI 6.85% · n=441

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for IR Reykjavik. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 9.5% 7D: 17.9% 15D: 12.2% 30D: 11.5%

Model insight

IF Vestri – IR Reykjavik Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.60. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.27% across 1151 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 6.85% across 441 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample177

Win Rate39.5%

Profit-1.12u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Cobaneras FC (W) - Deportivo Guatemala (W)	2.70	4.27%
LOSS	Marseille - Athletic Bilbao	2.70	4.27%
WIN	Reilac Shiga - FC Gifu	2.60	4.27%
LOSS	Chapecoense U20 - Criciuma U20	2.63	4.27%
LOSS	Brest - Venezia	2.50	4.27%
LOSS	Juventus (W) - Hammarby (W)	2.80	4.44%
LOSS	Elana Torun - Gedania Gdansk	2.63	4.27%
LOSS	SK Slany - SK Ujezd Praha 4	2.70	4.27%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Universidad de Concepcion (W) - Huachipato (W)	2	2.35	4.27%	12 Aug 17:00
FK Zemun - Mladost Lucani	2	2.63	4.27%	16 Aug 21:00

Pick

2 @ 2.60

Kickoff

Ago 13, 2026 10:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.27% • n=1151

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

6.85% • n=441

Start

Starts in 1d 8h

Updated

Updated 9h 11m ago