Model: TipA1

Chapecoense U20 vs Criciuma U20

PREDICTION

@ 2.63

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 09, 2026 12:00 AM

ResultLOSS2 - 2

StartStarted 5h 29m ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.27% · n=1151

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.85% · n=441

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 16h 51m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Criciuma U20. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Criciuma U20Goal/Shots Index — H: 0.038 | A: 0.034

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

55/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Chapecoense U20HOME

Criciuma U20AWAY

DWDWL

Recent form

DWWWW

Avg goals scored

1.80

2.80

Defensive weakness

1.40

1.00

Shots on target for

5.60

8.20

SoT conceded pressure

4.00

2.60

Home splitD-D-W-W-W2.60 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitD-W-W-D-W1.60 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.63. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.85% based on n=441 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Campeonato Catarinense U20 (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.63

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.27% · n=1151

V4 BandHIGHROI 6.85% · n=441

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, Criciuma U20 has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Criciuma U20's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 20.4% 7D: 20.2% 15D: 7.9% 30D: 12.4%

Model insight

Chapecoense U20 – Criciuma U20 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.63. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.27% across 1151 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 6.85% across 441 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample159

Win Rate39.6%

Profit-0.57u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Brest - Venezia	2.50	4.27%
LOSS	Juventus (W) - Hammarby (W)	2.80	4.44%
LOSS	Elana Torun - Gedania Gdansk	2.63	4.27%
LOSS	SK Slany - SK Ujezd Praha 4	2.70	4.27%
WIN	Bulleen Lions (W) - Box Hill (W)	2.38	4.27%
WIN	Skive - Nykobing	2.70	4.27%
WIN	Tulsa - Detroit City FC	2.55	4.27%
WIN	Sandefjord U19 - Asane Fotball U19	2.45	4.27%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Reilac Shiga - FC Gifu	2	2.60	4.27%	09 Aug 11:30
Chojniczanka Chojnice - Znicz Pruszków	2	2.60	4.27%	09 Aug 17:00
Marseille - Athletic Bilbao	2	2.70	4.27%	09 Aug 17:30
Cobaneras FC (W) - Deportivo Guatemala (W)	2	2.70	4.27%	09 Aug 18:30
Itabaiana - Caxias RS	2	2.70	4.27%	09 Aug 23:30
Banfield - Belgrano	2	2.50	4.27%	11 Aug 00:00

Pick

2 @ 2.63

Kickoff

Ago 09, 2026 12:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.27% • n=1151

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

6.85% • n=441

Start

Started 5h 29m ago

Updated

Updated 16h 51m ago