Model: TipA1

Elana Torun vs Gedania Gdansk

PREDICTION

@ 2.63

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 08, 2026 3:00 PM

ResultLOSS2 - 2

StartStarted 1d 3h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.27% · n=1151

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.85% · n=441

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 16h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Gedania Gdansk. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Gedania GdanskGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.051 | A: 0.008

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

55/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.63First seen

Current2.65Now

Max odds2.65Highest point

Min odds2.63Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Elana TorunHOME

Gedania GdanskAWAY

DDWLL

Recent form

DWLLW

Avg goals scored

1.40

2.60

Defensive weakness

2.40

3.00

Shots on target for

3.60

7.00

SoT conceded pressure

8.00

7.80

Home splitD-D-L-L-L1.00 scored / 3.00 conceded

Away splitD-L-W-W-L2.20 scored / 2.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.63. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.85% based on n=441 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Poland III Liga (pl). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.63

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.27% · n=1151

V4 BandHIGHROI 6.85% · n=441

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Gedania Gdansk. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Gedania Gdansk is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 3.5% 7D: 14.0% 15D: 4.2% 30D: 10.4%

Model insight

Elana Torun – Gedania Gdansk Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.63. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.27% across 1151 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 6.85% across 441 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample160

Win Rate40.0%

Profit+1.03u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Reilac Shiga - FC Gifu	2.60	4.27%
LOSS	Chapecoense U20 - Criciuma U20	2.63	4.27%
LOSS	Brest - Venezia	2.50	4.27%
LOSS	Juventus (W) - Hammarby (W)	2.80	4.44%
LOSS	SK Slany - SK Ujezd Praha 4	2.70	4.27%
WIN	Bulleen Lions (W) - Box Hill (W)	2.38	4.27%
WIN	Skive - Nykobing	2.70	4.27%
WIN	Tulsa - Detroit City FC	2.55	4.27%

Active Similar Predictions

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Cobaneras FC (W) - Deportivo Guatemala (W)	2	2.70	4.27%	09 Aug 18:30
Itabaiana - Caxias RS	2	2.70	4.27%	09 Aug 23:30
Banfield - Belgrano	2	2.50	4.27%	11 Aug 00:00

Pick

2 @ 2.63

Kickoff

Ago 08, 2026 3:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.27% • n=1151

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

6.85% • n=441

Start

Started 1d 3h ago

Updated

Updated 1d 16h ago