Strabane Athletic (W) – Mid Ulster (W)

Model: TIPPSH

Strabane Athletic (W) vs Mid Ulster (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.77
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 12, 2026 10:30 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 10h 15m
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 8m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Strabane Athletic (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Strabane Athletic (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: -0.003 | A: -0.019

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

25/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.65First seen
Current1.77Now
Max odds1.77Highest point
Min odds1.65Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Strabane Athletic (W)HOME
VS
Mid Ulster (W)AWAY
WLLWL
Recent form
WWLLL
Avg goals scored
2.60
1.20
Defensive weakness
3.40
2.40
Shots on target for
5.80
5.20
SoT conceded pressure
6.80
6.80
Home splitL-W-L-L-L2.60 scored / 4.00 conceded
Away splitW-L-L-L1.50 scored / 3.75 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.77. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Northern Ireland Championship Women (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.77
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 18.6% 7D: 19.0% 15D: 12.2% 30D: 11.5%
Model insight

Strabane Athletic (W) – Mid Ulster (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.77. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample384
Win Rate50.5%
Profit-20.66u
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WINCarshalton Ath - Wingate & Finchley1.831.04%
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Pick
1 @ 1.77
Kickoff
Ago 12, 2026 10:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Starts in 10h 15m
Updated
Updated 8m ago
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