Chelsea vs Real Sociedad
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Chelsea. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: ChelseaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.059 | A: -0.007Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.63. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -9.21% based on n=1970 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Elite Club Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The odds suggest a clear favorite, although the recent form gap is not as dominant as the price might imply. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Chelsea's attacking profile.
Chelsea – Real Sociedad Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | San Diego FC - Puebla | 1.62 | -4.66% |
| LOSS | Strabane Athletic (W) - Mid Ulster (W) | 1.67 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | Morocco (W) - Cameroon (W) | 1.71 | -7.35% |
| WIN | FC Iberia 1999 - Larne FC | 1.74 | -10.11% |
| LOSS | Institute - Ballinamallard Utd | 1.68 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | Ards FC - Dundela | 1.65 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Clydebank FC - Hibernian B | 1.70 | -9.89% |
| WIN | Real Salt Lake - Juarez FC | 1.65 | -9.21% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Lightning - Capalaba FC | 1 | 1.63 | -7.35% | 05 Jun 12:30 |
| Guijuelo - CDA Palencia | 1 | 1.70 | -9.21% | 07 Jun 18:00 |
| Talleres Remedios Reserves - CA Colegiales Reserves | 1 | 1.66 | -6.04% | 13 Aug 16:00 |
| Neom SC - Al Fayha | 1 | 1.72 | -7.35% | 14 Aug 18:50 |
| Odense BK - AC Horsens | 1 | 1.69 | -7.35% | 16 Aug 14:00 |
| VJS Vantaa - JJK | 1 | 1.75 | -7.35% | 16 Aug 16:00 |
| Frosinone - Juve Stabia | 1 | 1.68 | -7.35% | 16 Aug 18:00 |
| FC Koper - NK Bravo | 1 | 1.71 | -4.66% | 16 Aug 20:15 |