Model: TIPPSH
Institute vs Ballinamallard Utd
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.68
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 11, 2026 10:45 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 2
StartStarted 12h 58m ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -9.21% · n=1970
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 1h ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Institute. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: InstituteGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
3/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.61First seen
Current1.68Now
Max odds1.68Highest point
Min odds1.61Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
InstituteHOME
VS
Ballinamallard UtdAWAY
LWWWW
Recent form
WLLDD
Avg goals scored
2.40
0.60
Defensive weakness
0.80
0.80
Shots on target for
1.00
3.75
SoT conceded pressure
8.00
4.50
Home splitL-W-W-D1.75 scored / 0.75 conceded
Away splitW-D-D-L0.50 scored / 1.00 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.68. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -9.21% based on n=1970 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Northern Ireland Championship (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.
Pick1
Odd1.68
V2 BandNONEROI -9.21% · n=1970
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium
AI Match Insight
The market strongly favors Institute, and recent form broadly confirms the direction of the price. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.
Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: -6.4%
7D: 6.7%
15D: 11.7%
30D: 11.1%
Model insight
Institute – Ballinamallard Utd Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.68. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -9.21% across 1970 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample335
Win Rate60.9%
Profit+7.70u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | FC Iberia 1999 - Larne FC | 1.74 | -10.11% |
| LOSS | Ards FC - Dundela | 1.65 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Clydebank FC - Hibernian B | 1.70 | -9.89% |
| WIN | Real Salt Lake - Juarez FC | 1.65 | -9.21% |
| WIN | FC Astana - Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 1.65 | -4.66% |
| LOSS | FK Transinvest - Panevezys | 1.65 | -7.35% |
| WIN | Philadelphia Union - Necaxa | 1.73 | -4.66% |
| WIN | Envigado U19 - Belen Arco Zaragoza U19 | 1.73 | -7.35% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Lightning - Capalaba FC | 1 | 1.63 | -7.35% | 05 Jun 12:30 |
| Guijuelo - CDA Palencia | 1 | 1.70 | -9.21% | 07 Jun 18:00 |
| Strabane Athletic (W) - Mid Ulster (W) | 1 | 1.67 | -9.21% | 12 Aug 20:30 |
| Morocco (W) - Cameroon (W) | 1 | 1.71 | -7.35% | 12 Aug 22:00 |
| Neom SC - Al Fayha | 1 | 1.72 | -7.35% | 14 Aug 18:50 |
| Odense BK - AC Horsens | 1 | 1.69 | -7.35% | 16 Aug 14:00 |
| FC Koper - NK Bravo | 1 | 1.71 | -4.66% | 16 Aug 20:15 |
Pick
1 @ 1.68
Kickoff
Ago 11, 2026 10:45 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -9.21% • n=1970
Start
Started 12h 58m ago
Updated
Updated 1d 1h ago