CD Estradense – Coruxo

Model: TIPPSH

CD Estradense vs Coruxo

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.98
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 12, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultWIN2 - 0
StartStarted 3h 21m ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.87% · n=129
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 6h 23m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is CD Estradense. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: CD EstradenseGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: -0.204

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

62/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.75First seen
Current3.98Now
Max odds3.98Highest point
Min odds3.60Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

CD EstradenseHOME
VS
CoruxoAWAY
WDLWL
Recent form
LLDDL
Avg goals scored
1.60
0.80
Defensive weakness
1.20
2.20
Shots on target for
7.60
5.00
SoT conceded pressure
4.20
4.40
Home splitW-L-W-W-W1.80 scored / 0.60 conceded
Away splitL-L-D-D-L0.80 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.98. The V2 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 5.87% based on n=129 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.98
V2 BandHIGHROI 5.87% · n=129
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, CD Estradense has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. The selection falls within a stronger historical confidence range, which makes the higher price more interesting. CD Estradense has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 21.6% 7D: 12.1% 15D: 14.0% 30D: 12.4%
Model insight

CD Estradense – Coruxo Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.98. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 5.87% across 129 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample11
Win Rate27.3%
Profit+0.75u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSSestri Levante - FC Vado3.905.56%
LOSSBjelovar - NK Krizevci3.795.87%
WINMlada Boleslav - Sparta Prague4.035.87%
LOSSDebreceni VSC - FC Copenhagen4.205.87%
LOSSGyeongnam FC - Daegu FC4.055.56%
LOSSFK Bumprom - FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk3.945.87%
LOSSGuangxi Hengchen - Shandong Taishan4.115.87%
LOSSRagsveds IF - Enkopings SK4.205.56%
Pick
1 @ 3.98
Kickoff
Ago 12, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 5.87% • n=129
Start
Started 3h 21m ago
Updated
Updated 6h 23m ago
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