San Diego Wave (W) – Denver Summit FC (W)

Model: TIPPSH

San Diego Wave (W) vs Denver Summit FC (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.15
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 15, 2026 6:00 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1d 19h
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 55m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is San Diego Wave (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: San Diego Wave (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: -0.083 | A: -0.056

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

30/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.82First seen
Current2.15Now
Max odds2.15Highest point
Min odds1.78Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

San Diego Wave (W)HOME
VS
Denver Summit FC (W)AWAY
LWLDL
Recent form
WLDLW
Avg goals scored
0.60
1.00
Defensive weakness
1.40
1.20
Shots on target for
6.40
4.20
SoT conceded pressure
4.20
4.40
Home splitL-L-W-L-W0.80 scored / 1.20 conceded
Away splitL-W-L-W-L1.60 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.15. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA NWSL Women (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.15
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. San Diego Wave (W) is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 15.5% 7D: 13.6% 15D: 14.9% 30D: 12.1%
Model insight

San Diego Wave (W) – Denver Summit FC (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.15. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample503
Win Rate47.1%
Profit-5.23u
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WINNew York City FC II - Orlando City II2.141.04%
LOSSBerwick Rangers - Hearts B2.041.31%
WINBanbury - Racing Club Warwick1.931.31%
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Pick
1 @ 2.15
Kickoff
Ago 15, 2026 6:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Starts in 1d 19h
Updated
Updated 55m ago
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