CA Atlanta Reserves – CA San Miguel Reserves

Model: TIPPSH

CA Atlanta Reserves vs CA San Miguel Reserves

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.11
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 13, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 2
StartStarted 1d 18h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 21h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is CA Atlanta Reserves. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: CA Atlanta ReservesGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.055 | A: 0.015

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

30/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.80First seen
Current2.11Now
Max odds2.11Highest point
Min odds1.80Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

CA Atlanta ReservesHOME
VS
CA San Miguel ReservesAWAY
LWDDW
Recent form
WLWLW
Avg goals scored
1.20
1.20
Defensive weakness
1.00
0.80
Shots on target for
4.20
3.60
SoT conceded pressure
2.80
3.60
Home splitL-W-D-W-W1.80 scored / 0.80 conceded
Away splitW-L-L-D-L0.80 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.11. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Argentina Nacional Reserve League (ar). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.11
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: -2.9% 7D: 8.3% 15D: 12.3% 30D: 11.0%
Model insight

CA Atlanta Reserves – CA San Miguel Reserves Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.11. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample556
Win Rate47.3%
Profit-12.02u
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ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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LOSSEpitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi - FC Veres Rivne2.071.04%
LOSSATSV Wolfsberg - VST Volkermarkt2.131.31%
WINEltham Redbacks - Manningham United Blues1.991.31%
WINViborg - AGF Aarhus2.021.04%
LOSSLunds BK - Hässleholms IF1.971.04%
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Pick
1 @ 2.11
Kickoff
Ago 13, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Started 1d 18h ago
Updated
Updated 1d 21h ago
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