Model: TIPPSH
Fagiano Okayama vs V-Varen Nagasaki
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.21
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 15, 2026 1:55 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 3d 11h
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 8m ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Fagiano Okayama. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Fagiano OkayamaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.111 | A: 0.076Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
32/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Fagiano OkayamaHOME
VS
V-Varen NagasakiAWAY
LLLWL
Recent form
WLWWL
Avg goals scored
1.00
1.00
Defensive weakness
2.20
1.00
Shots on target for
3.40
3.00
SoT conceded pressure
4.60
7.00
Home splitW-D-L-W-W1.60 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitL-W-L-L-W1.20 scored / 1.60 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.21. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Japan J-League (jp). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.
Pick1
Odd2.21
V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
Odds TrendStable
VolatilityLow
AI Match Insight
The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.
Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: -1.5%
7D: 3.2%
15D: 10.9%
30D: 10.9%
Model insight
Fagiano Okayama – V-Varen Nagasaki Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.21. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample437
Win Rate47.1%
Profit+5.78u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Real Jaen - Cacereno | 2.25 | 1.41% |
| LOSS | Flamengo SP U20 - GO Audax U20 | 2.37 | 1.59% |
| WIN | New York City FC II - Orlando City II | 2.14 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Berwick Rangers - Hearts B | 2.04 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Nacional de Montevideo Reserves - Montevideo Wanderers Reserves | 2.20 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Planalto EC (W) - Pantanal (W) | 2.12 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Huachipato (W) - Palestino (W) | 2.37 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | JS Hercules - SJK Akatemia II | 2.32 | 1.59% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Boca Juniors Reserves - River Plate Reserves | 1 | 2.40 | 1.59% | 05 Jul 19:00 |
| Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 27 Jul 01:00 |
| Apia L Tigers - Sydney United 58 | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 12 Aug 11:30 |
| Throttur Reykjavik (W) - Valur Reykjavik (W) | 1 | 2.10 | 1.04% | 12 Aug 21:15 |
| Bragantino - Atletico Mineiro | 1 | 2.00 | 1.04% | 13 Aug 00:00 |
| Deportivo Recoleta - 2 de Mayo | 1 | 2.43 | 1.59% | 14 Aug 23:30 |
Pick
1 @ 2.21
Kickoff
Ago 15, 2026 1:55 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.31% • n=2537
Start
Starts in 3d 11h
Updated
Updated 8m ago