Model: TIPPSH

Chelmsford vs Truro City

PREDICTION

@ 2.23

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 15, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1d 1h

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 9m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Chelmsford. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: ChelmsfordGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.055 | A: 0.162

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

32/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.50First seen

Current2.23Now

Max odds2.50Highest point

Min odds2.23Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

ChelmsfordHOME

Truro CityAWAY

DLLWW

Recent form

WWLWW

Avg goals scored

1.20

2.20

Defensive weakness

1.00

0.60

Shots on target for

5.20

2.60

SoT conceded pressure

3.00

2.60

Home splitL-L-L-D-W1.20 scored / 1.40 conceded

Away splitW-W-W-L-L2.00 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.23. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to England National League South (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.23

V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Chelmsford is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: -11.2% 7D: 8.1% 15D: 11.9% 30D: 9.7%

Model insight

Chelmsford – Truro City Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.23. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample441

Win Rate46.5%

Profit+1.65u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Eltham Redbacks - Manningham United Blues	1.99	1.31%
LOSS	CD Moron Reserves - Club Atletico Mitre Reserves	2.20	1.31%
WIN	Dunajska Streda U19 - ZP Sport Podbrezova U19	2.08	1.04%
LOSS	Union Rochefortoise - Crossing Schaerbeek	2.07	1.04%
WIN	Measurers Club - Rainbow AC	1.98	1.04%
WIN	Real Jaen - Cacereno	2.25	1.41%
WIN	Throttur Reykjavik (W) - Valur Reykjavik (W)	2.10	1.04%
LOSS	Flamengo SP U20 - GO Audax U20	2.37	1.59%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola	1	2.17	1.04%	30 May 18:30
Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves	1	1.99	1.31%	05 Jul 16:00
Boca Juniors Reserves - River Plate Reserves	1	2.40	1.59%	05 Jul 19:00
Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United	1	2.17	1.04%	27 Jul 01:00
Fleetwood Town U21 - Colchester U21	1	2.05	1.04%	14 Aug 15:00
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi - FC Veres Rivne	1	2.07	1.04%	14 Aug 17:00
ATSV Wolfsberg - VST Volkermarkt	1	2.13	1.31%	14 Aug 19:00
Viborg - AGF Aarhus	1	2.02	1.04%	14 Aug 19:00

Pick

1 @ 2.23

Kickoff

Ago 15, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.31% • n=2537

Start

Starts in 1d 1h

Updated

Updated 9m ago