Grosseto vs FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Grosseto. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: GrossetoGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.105 | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.40. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 13.35% based on n=48 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Italy Serie C Cup (it). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
Although the selection comes at relatively high odds, the recent statistical profile appears more balanced than the market suggests. The ELITE confidence band is important here: similar higher-priced setups have historically produced positive model results. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Grosseto's attacking profile.
Grosseto – FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | FK Arsenal - Buducnost Podgorica | 3.36 | 8.08% |
| LOSS | JK Trans Narva - Paide Linnameeskond | 3.30 | 13.35% |
| WIN | Stirling - Cove Rangers | 3.38 | 8.08% |
| LOSS | Sochaux - St Etienne | 3.62 | 8.08% |
| WIN | Rodina Moscow - Rubin Kazan | 3.30 | 8.08% |
| LOSS | Exeter - Bristol City | 3.26 | 8.08% |
| WIN | SK Olympia Rajecko - Zdar nad Sazavou | 3.30 | 13.35% |
| WIN | Sporting Kansas City II - Minnesota United FC II | 3.56 | 13.35% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spalding United - Macclesfield | 1 | 3.27 | 8.08% | 18 Aug 20:45 |