North Star vs Caboolture FC
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is North Star. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: North StarGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.019 | A: 0.014Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.37. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.49% based on n=1025 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Queensland Premier League (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. North Star is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
North Star – Caboolture FC Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Oldham - Port Vale | 2.60 | 3.15% |
| LOSS | Torslanda IK - Dalstorps IF | 2.35 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | ASD Pineto Calcio - Gubbio | 2.42 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Yarmouk - Al Salibikhaet SC | 2.33 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Bedford Town - Darlington 1883 | 2.56 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Rostov - Rubin Kazan | 2.20 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Barnet - Salford City | 2.38 | 3.15% |
| LOSS | Gimnastica de Torrelavega - Sestao River | 2.40 | 2.49% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moreton City Excelsior U23 - Lions FC U23 | 1 | 2.35 | 2.49% | 16 Aug 07:00 |
| Tabasalu FC Charma - JK Tallinna Kalev II | 1 | 2.31 | 2.49% | 16 Aug 14:00 |
| Cardiff - Wrexham | 1 | 2.42 | 2.49% | 17 Aug 21:00 |