Model: TipTromba2H

Deportivo Santaní vs Carapegua

PREDICTION

@ 1.65

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 16, 2026 5:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 19h 10m

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.38% · n=1115

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 13m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Deportivo Santaní. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Deportivo SantaníGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.080 | A: 0.091

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

8/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.65First seen

Current1.65Now

Max odds1.72Highest point

Min odds1.65Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Deportivo SantaníHOME

CarapeguaAWAY

WWWWL

Recent form

WWLWL

Avg goals scored

2.00

1.40

Defensive weakness

1.00

Shots on target for

6.80

3.60

SoT conceded pressure

3.80

4.20

Home splitW-W-L-W-W2.00 scored / 0.80 conceded

Away splitW-D-L-D-L1.20 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.65. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.38% based on n=1115 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Paraguay Division Intermedia (py). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.65

V2 BandNONEROI -3.38% · n=1115

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The short price is supported by recent form data, with Deportivo Santaní showing a clearer performance edge. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Deportivo Santaní has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -36.1% 7D: -11.1% 15D: 8.7% 30D: 6.8%

Model insight

Deportivo Santaní – Carapegua Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.65. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -3.38% across 1115 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample511

Win Rate63.6%

Profit+10.77u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Deportivo Alexis Garcia - Sellos Colombianos	1.50	-3.82%
WIN	Instituto Cordoba U20 - Quilmes U20	1.70	-1.89%
WIN	Uitm United - UITM Perlis	1.53	-3.82%
LOSS	MFK Ruzomberok (W) - KFC Komarno (W)	1.73	-1.89%
WIN	Pogon Szczecin II - Gwardia Koszalin	1.55	-1.89%
WIN	Stiinta Poli Timisoara - FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia	1.70	-1.89%
LOSS	Marist FC - SOSA	1.53	-1.89%
WIN	FK BE1 - FC Hegelmann II	1.50	-3.38%

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Pick

1 @ 1.65

Kickoff

Ago 16, 2026 5:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -3.38% • n=1115

Start

Starts in 19h 10m

Updated

Updated 13m ago