Model: TIPPSH

Gloria Bistrita vs CS Concordia Chiajna

PREDICTION

@ 2.35

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 15, 2026 12:00 PM

ResultLOSS1 - 2

StartStarted 2d 7h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.70% · n=209

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 2d 11h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Gloria Bistrita. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Gloria BistritaGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: 0.185

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

26/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.65First seen

Current2.65Now

Max odds2.65Highest point

Min odds2.62Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Gloria BistritaHOME

CS Concordia ChiajnaAWAY

LWWWW

Recent form

WWWWD

Avg goals scored

2.00

2.60

Defensive weakness

0.60

1.00

Shots on target for

6.00

4.60

SoT conceded pressure

3.00

4.40

Home splitL-W-W-L-L1.20 scored / 1.20 conceded

Away splitW-W-W-D-L2.20 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.35. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -0.70% based on n=209 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Romania Liga 2 (ro). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.35

V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 BandNONEROI -0.70% · n=209

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Gloria Bistrita is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -33.7% 7D: -18.4% 15D: 4.8% 30D: 4.8%

Model insight

Gloria Bistrita – CS Concordia Chiajna Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.35. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -0.70% across 209 historical samples. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample367

Win Rate45.0%

Profit+7.74u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Amedspor - Erzurumspor FK	2.34	1.59%
WIN	Guangdong Mingtu - Wuhan Three Towns Reserves	2.53	1.59%
LOSS	Ulsan HD - Gangwon FC	2.52	1.59%
LOSS	Rebordosa - FC Tirsense	2.19	1.04%
WIN	Villa San Carlos - Defensores Unidos	2.25	1.59%
WIN	Molde - Tromso	2.11	1.31%
WIN	Juventude de Evora - Alcochetense	2.51	1.59%
WIN	St Patricks - Shamrock Rovers	2.25	1.59%

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Pick

1 @ 2.35

Kickoff

Ago 15, 2026 12:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341

Confidence V4

CONF V4: NONE

Exp. ROI V4

-0.70% • n=209

Start

Started 2d 7h ago

Updated

Updated 2d 11h ago