Model: TIPPSH

Amedspor vs Erzurumspor FK

PREDICTION

@ 2.27

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 16, 2026 10:30 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1h 44m

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 17m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Amedspor. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: AmedsporGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

33/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.39First seen

Current2.27Now

Max odds2.40Highest point

Min odds2.27Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

AmedsporHOME

Erzurumspor FKAWAY

WDDLD

Recent form

DDDWW

Avg goals scored

1.60

1.20

Defensive weakness

1.60

0.60

Shots on target for

5.20

4.20

SoT conceded pressure

4.20

Home splitW-D-D-W2.75 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitD-D-W1.00 scored / 0.67 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.27. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Türkiye Super Lig (tr). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.27

V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Amedspor has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -23.4% 7D: -18.9% 15D: -0.8% 30D: 3.5%

Model insight

Amedspor – Erzurumspor FK Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.27. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample442

Win Rate47.3%

Profit+18.07u

Historical Similar Predictions

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Pick

1 @ 2.27

Kickoff

Ago 16, 2026 10:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341

Start

Starts in 1h 44m

Updated

Updated 17m ago