Model: TIPPSH

Mushuc Runa vs Barcelona Guayaquil

PREDICTION

@ 2.21

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 16, 2026 4:00 AM

ResultLOSS0 - 0

StartStarted 22h 46m ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 17h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Mushuc Runa. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Mushuc RunaGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.010 | A: -0.012

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

31/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.60First seen

Current2.21Now

Max odds2.60Highest point

Min odds2.21Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Mushuc RunaHOME

Barcelona GuayaquilAWAY

DWWLD

Recent form

DLWDL

Avg goals scored

1.20

0.60

Defensive weakness

0.80

Shots on target for

4.00

2.80

SoT conceded pressure

4.00

3.80

Home splitD-L-W-L-D0.60 scored / 1.40 conceded

Away splitD-W-D-L-D0.60 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.21. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Ecuador LigaPro Serie A (ec). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.21

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Mushuc Runa. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Mushuc Runa has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -23.5% 7D: -14.7% 15D: 4.3% 30D: 5.1%

Model insight

Mushuc Runa – Barcelona Guayaquil Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.21. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample509

Win Rate47.5%

Profit+11.52u

Historical Similar Predictions

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WIN	Amedspor - Erzurumspor FK	2.34	1.59%
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LOSS	Rebordosa - FC Tirsense	2.19	1.04%
WIN	Villa San Carlos - Defensores Unidos	2.25	1.59%
WIN	Molde - Tromso	2.11	1.31%
WIN	St Patricks - Shamrock Rovers	2.25	1.59%
LOSS	Ingulets Petrovo - Nyva Ternopil	2.10	1.04%

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Pick

1 @ 2.21

Kickoff

Ago 16, 2026 4:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438

Start

Started 22h 46m ago

Updated

Updated 1d 17h ago