Rio Verde vs Goianesia
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Rio Verde. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Rio VerdeGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.095 | A: 0.074Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.11. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2 (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Rio Verde has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Rio Verde – Goianesia Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Pachuca U21 - Puebla U21 | 2.15 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Centro Espanol - Central Cordoba de Rosario | 2.26 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Amedspor - Erzurumspor FK | 2.34 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Raufoss - Asane | 2.01 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Rebordosa - FC Tirsense | 2.19 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Alhama CF (W) - Villarreal (W) | 1.91 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Villa San Carlos - Defensores Unidos | 2.25 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Molde - Tromso | 2.11 | 1.31% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 27 Jul 01:00 |
| Istra 1961 - Slaven Belupo | 1 | 1.97 | 1.04% | 15 Aug 18:30 |
| NK Osijek - NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1 | 1.98 | 1.31% | 15 Aug 21:00 |
| Larne Reserves - Crusaders Reserves | 1 | 2.08 | 1.04% | 17 Aug 21:00 |
| Throttur Reykjavik - Fylkir Reykjavik | 1 | 2.20 | 1.31% | 17 Aug 21:15 |
| Deportes Copiapo - Curico Unido | 1 | 1.96 | 1.04% | 18 Aug 00:00 |