Model: TIPPSA

Zhejiang vs Chengdu Rongcheng

PREDICTION

@ 2.17

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 15, 2026 3:35 PM

ResultWIN2 - 3

StartStarted 1d 8h ago

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.84% · n=515

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 11h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Chengdu Rongcheng. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Chengdu RongchengGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.073 | A: -0.040

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

24/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.26First seen

Current2.21Now

Max odds2.26Highest point

Min odds2.21Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

ZhejiangHOME

Chengdu RongchengAWAY

LLWDW

Recent form

WLDDD

Avg goals scored

2.00

1.80

Defensive weakness

2.00

1.80

Shots on target for

5.80

6.60

SoT conceded pressure

5.40

4.40

Home splitL-W-W-L-W2.40 scored / 2.60 conceded

Away splitW-L-D-D-D1.60 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.17. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -0.84% based on n=515 historical similar picks. The match belongs to China Super League (cn). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.17

V2 BandNONEROI -0.84% · n=515

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -22.4% 7D: -15.5% 15D: 4.3% 30D: 5.1%

Model insight

Zhejiang – Chengdu Rongcheng Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.17. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -0.84% across 515 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample77

Win Rate42.9%

Profit-6.86u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Follo - Rana FK	2.09	-0.84%
WIN	Baltika Kaliningrad - Spartak Moscow	2.05	-0.84%
LOSS	Racing Santander - Villarreal	2.12	-0.84%
LOSS	Platense - Boca Juniors	2.03	-0.84%
LOSS	Fuerte San Francisco - AD Isidro Metapan	2.05	-0.84%
WIN	FF Jaro II - Huima/Urho	2.08	-0.84%
LOSS	UE Olot - UE Sant Andreu	2.09	-0.84%
WIN	Macarthur Rams - Blacktown Spartans	2.17	-0.84%

Pick

2 @ 2.17

Kickoff

Ago 15, 2026 3:35 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -0.84% • n=515

Start

Started 1d 8h ago

Updated

Updated 1d 11h ago