Falkenbergs FF – Norrby IF

Model: TIPPSA

Falkenbergs FF vs Norrby IF

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.84
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 15, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 0
StartStarted 1d 7h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.92% · n=146
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 9h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Norrby IF. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Norrby IFGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.057 | A: 0.072

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

55/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.10First seen
Current4.10Now
Max odds4.10Highest point
Min odds4.10Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Falkenbergs FFHOME
VS
Norrby IFAWAY
WDLWL
Recent form
LWDDW
Avg goals scored
1.60
1.60
Defensive weakness
1.40
1.20
Shots on target for
3.20
5.00
SoT conceded pressure
4.60
3.20
Home splitW-D-L-L-D1.40 scored / 1.40 conceded
Away splitL-D-L-W-L0.60 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.84. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.92% based on n=146 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Sweden Superettan (se). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick2
Odd3.84
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.92% · n=146
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendStable
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Norrby IF is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -22.4% 7D: -17.4% 15D: 4.4% 30D: 4.6%
Model insight

Falkenbergs FF – Norrby IF Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.84. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.92% across 146 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample34
Win Rate5.9%
Profit-26.20u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSRKC - FC Dordrecht3.773.99%
LOSSFC Viktoriya Sumy - Kolos Kovalivka II3.684.77%
LOSSCSD Municipal - Cartagines3.852.78%
LOSSRosario Central - Racing Club3.803.92%
LOSSClub Atletico Libertad - Delfin SC3.694.77%
LOSSCD Los Chankas - Sport Boys4.073.92%
LOSSOstersunds FK - Landskrona BoIS3.604.77%
LOSSItuano - Figueirense3.812.78%
Pick
2 @ 3.84
Kickoff
Ago 15, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.92% • n=146
Start
Started 1d 7h ago
Updated
Updated 1d 9h ago
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