PEC Zwolle (W) – PSV (W)

Model: TipTromba9H

PEC Zwolle (W) vs PSV (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 8.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 16, 2026 6:45 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 2
StartStarted 4h 40m ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.07% · n=98
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 3h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is PEC Zwolle (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: PEC Zwolle (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: -0.210 | A: 0.015

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

51/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds8.00First seen
Current8.75Now
Max odds8.75Highest point
Min odds8.00Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

PEC Zwolle (W)HOME
VS
PSV (W)AWAY
LDLLW
Recent form
WWWWL
Avg goals scored
0.80
2.20
Defensive weakness
2.40
1.00
Shots on target for
5.00
4.00
SoT conceded pressure
4.00
4.00
Home splitL-L-W-W1.75 scored / 2.25 conceded
Away splitW-W-L-W-D1.80 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 8.00. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.07% based on n=98 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Netherlands Eredivisie Women (nl). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd8.00
V2 BandLOWROI 1.07% · n=98
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. PEC Zwolle (W) has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -21.3% 7D: -18.6% 15D: 2.2% 30D: 4.1%
Model insight

PEC Zwolle (W) – PSV (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 8.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba9H model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.07% across 98 similar predictions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample46
Win Rate15.2%
Profit+10.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSMeyrin - Neuchatel Xamax8.001.07%
LOSSNamungo FC - Young Africans8.001.07%
LOSSCesena (W) - Fiorentina (W)8.001.02%
LOSSVarzim - Guimaraes8.001.07%
LOSSSydney Olympic - Brisbane Roar8.001.07%
LOSSFC Zurich (W) - AC Milan (W)8.001.07%
LOSSAuckland FC - Tottenham8.001.07%
LOSSDSG Ferlach - TSV Grafenstein8.001.02%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Santos Laguna (W) - Monterrey (W)18.001.07%18 Aug 03:06
Pick
1 @ 8.00
Kickoff
Ago 16, 2026 6:45 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.07% • n=98
Start
Started 4h 40m ago
Updated
Updated 1d 3h ago
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