Newcastle (W) – Inter Milan (W)

Model: TipTromba6H

Newcastle (W) vs Inter Milan (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 5.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 16, 2026 4:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 2
StartStarted 11h 34m ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.22% · n=43
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.22% · n=43
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 1h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Newcastle (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Newcastle (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: -0.067

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

55/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds5.00First seen
Current5.49Now
Max odds5.49Highest point
Min odds5.00Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Newcastle (W)HOME
VS
Inter Milan (W)AWAY
LLLD
Recent form
WWWLD
Avg goals scored
0.50
1.80
Defensive weakness
1.50
1.60
Shots on target for
4.50
4.00
SoT conceded pressure
4.00
4.00
Home splitL-L-D0.33 scored / 1.33 conceded
Away splitW-W-W-D-W2.20 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 5.00. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.22% based on n=43 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Women’s Friendly. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd5.00
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.22% · n=43
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 2.22% · n=43
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -23.2% 7D: -20.3% 15D: 0.5% 30D: 3.7%
Model insight

Newcastle (W) – Inter Milan (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 5.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba6H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.22% and 2.22%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample33
Win Rate30.3%
Profit+17.25u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINAFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti - Metaloglobus Bucuresti5.002.50%
LOSSClub Sanjustino - CA 9 de Julio Rafaela5.002.22%
WINSubiaco AFC (W) - Perth Redstar FC (W)5.002.50%
WINASA Aarhus (W) - AGF (W)5.002.22%
WINIpswich Knights - Yeronga FC5.002.22%
LOSSSt Pauli - Bournemouth5.252.00%
LOSSTaunton Town - Weston Super Mare5.202.50%
LOSSHebburn Town - Hartlepool5.252.00%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Zalaegerszegi TE - Ferencvarosi TC15.002.22%15 Aug 17:00
Pick
1 @ 5.00
Kickoff
Ago 16, 2026 4:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.22% • n=43
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.22% • n=43
Start
Started 11h 34m ago
Updated
Updated 1d 1h ago
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