Model: TipTromba2H

FK Qarabag vs Shamakhi FK

PREDICTION

@ 1.67

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 17, 2026 7:30 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 10h 54m

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.38% · n=1115

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 6h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FK Qarabag. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FK QarabagGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.019 | A: -0.079

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

8/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FK QarabagHOME

Shamakhi FKAWAY

WLDDW

Recent form

LWLLW

Avg goals scored

1.00

1.20

Defensive weakness

0.20

2.20

Shots on target for

3.20

4.60

SoT conceded pressure

4.20

6.40

Home splitW-D-W-L-W2.00 scored / 1.20 conceded

Away splitL-L-L-D0.50 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.67. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.38% based on n=1115 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Azerbaijan Premier League (az). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.67

V2 BandNONEROI -3.38% · n=1115

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The low odds suggest strong market confidence, and the available form indicators generally support that view. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -17.5% 7D: -17.7% 15D: 0.5% 30D: 4.3%

Model insight

FK Qarabag – Shamakhi FK Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.67. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -3.38% across 1115 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample527

Win Rate64.3%

Profit+17.00u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Coimbra U20 - Boston City FC U20	1.65	-1.89%
WIN	LDU Quito (W) - Barcelona Guayaquil (W)	1.53	-1.89%
WIN	General Velásquez - Provincial Ovalle	1.57	-3.38%
WIN	Atletico Pilar - CUDP Lobos	1.65	-3.82%
WIN	Deportes Iquique (W) - Universidad de Concepcion (W)	1.55	-1.89%
WIN	Deportivo Alexis Garcia - Sellos Colombianos	1.50	-3.82%
WIN	KF Drita - KF Llapi	1.53	-3.38%
WIN	Instituto Cordoba U20 - Quilmes U20	1.70	-1.89%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Mohun Bagan SG - Jamshedpur FC	1	1.70	-1.89%	17 Aug 12:30
FK Auda - SC Grobinas	1	1.60	-3.38%	17 Aug 17:00
Barnet - Arsenal U21	1	1.67	-3.82%	18 Aug 20:45
LDU Quito - Mirassol	1	1.57	-1.89%	18 Aug 22:00
Preston Lions - Melbourne City FC 2	1	1.50	-3.82%	19 Aug 12:30
Rangers - FK Jablonec	1	1.70	-3.38%	20 Aug 20:45

Pick

1 @ 1.67

Kickoff

Ago 17, 2026 7:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -3.38% • n=1115

Start

Starts in 10h 54m

Updated

Updated 1d 6h ago